ADVERTISEMENT

Hurricane season

Just named a hurricane. Looks like it is going to skirt past that high pressure with the wind shear and sneak up into the Gulf, passing over Puerto Rico. I'm thinking it goes into the southern Gulf.
PLEASE!
 
images
 
As long as it doesn't hit Florida, I don't care what it does. It will ruin those last days at the Jersey Shore, though.

First Sandy then Danny.
Hey was that the characters in Grease?
 
  • Like
Reactions: grady327
Danny has the opportunity to strengthen a little during
the next 2 to 3 days while embedded within very light shear. Models
in general, however, no longer intensify the cyclone as much as they
did in earlier runs and, in fact, the GFS and ECMWF weaken Danny to
a tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean Sea. The NHC forecast calls
for some intensification for the next 3 days, and calls for slight
weakening as Danny encounters high shear and dry air in the eastern
Caribbean Sea.

After 48 hours, most
of the global models forecast the subtropical ridge to expand
westward, forcing Danny to turn back to the west as indicated in the
NHC forecast. The multi-model consensus as well as the consensus of
the GFS and the ECMWF depict the expansion of the ridge, and bring
Danny to the eastern Caribbean, while the UK and the GFDL models
insist on taking the cyclone north of the islands. In summary, it
appears that a tropical cyclone or a perhaps a wave will be moving
over the Leeward Islands between 4 and 5 days.


vis_lalo-animated.gif
 
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT