Including 2019 as a comparison so that we see the record and SP+ ranking of the team each coach inherited... I will say that Norvell's 69 in SP+ seems better but if I remember correctly, Bill Connelly's formula keeps around pre-season ranking predictions through week 4. Which shows for Washington at 19 even after being 1-2 and losing to Montana. But the other top 4 of Kiffin, Pittman, Aranda, Tucker have good starts (so far) in year two. USA Today Sagarin has FSU at 107. So it will be interesting to see if what SP+ has after weeks 4 and 5 for FSU when the preseason formula stops counting.
New HC | School | 2019 record | 2019 SP+ | 2020 record | 2020 SP+ | 2021 record | 2021 SP+ |
Lane Kiffin | Ole Miss | 4-8 | 53 | 5-5 | 36 | 3-0 | 12 |
Jimmy Lake | Washington | 8-5 | 16 | 3-1 | 19 | 1-2 | 19 |
Sam Pittman | Arkansas | 2-10 | 108 | 3-7 | 57 | 3-0 | 32 |
Dave Aranda | Baylor | 11-3 | 18 | 2-7 | 63 | 3-0 | 34 |
Mel Tucker | Michigan St | 7-6 | 42 | 2-5 | 65 | 3-0 | 40 |
Mike Leach | Miss St | 6-7 | 51 | 4-7 | 58 | 2-1 | 41 |
Kalen DeBoer | Fresno St | 4-8 | 80 | 3-3 | 91 | 3-1 | 44 |
Shawn Clark | App St | 12-1 | 27 | 9-3 | 24 | 2-1 | 46 |
Jeff Hafley | BC | 6-7 | 92 | 6-5 | 79 | 3-0 | 50 |
Eli Drinkwitz | Missouri | 6-6 | 39 | 5-5 | 68 | 2-1 | 53 |
Greg Schiano | Rutgers | 2-10 | 117 | 3-6 | 101 | 3-0 | 59 |
Ryan Silverfield | Memphis | 12-2 | 17 | 8-3 | 49 | 3-0 | 61 |
Brady Hoke | San Diego St | 10-3 | 56 | 4-4 | 61 | 3-0 | 62 |
Mike Norvell | Florida State | 6-7 | 58 | 3-6 | 85 | 0-3 | 69 |
Nick Rolovich | Wash St | 6-7 | 28 | 1-3 | 64 | 1-2 | 73 |
Jeff Traylor | UTSA | 4-8 | 124 | 7-5 | 93 | 3-0 | 74 |
Willie Taggart | FAU | 11-3 | 40 | 5-4 | 95 | 2-1 | 75 |
Karl Dorrell | Colorado | 5-7 | 81 | 4-2 | 67 | 1-2 | 84 |
Steve Addazio | Colorado St | 4-8 | 78 | 1-3 | 92 | 1-2 | 95 |
Todd Graham | Hawaii | 9-5 | 69 | 5-4 | 102 | 1-3 | 99 |
Jeff Scott | South Florida | 4-8 | 103 | 1-8 | 108 | 1-2 | 113 |
Danny Gonzales | New Mexico | 2-10 | 119 | 2-5 | 119 | 2-1 | 117 |
Marcus Arroyo | UNLV | 4-8 | 120 | 0-6 | 123 | 0-3 | 124 |
Ricky Rahne | Old Dominion | 1-11 | 125 | n/a | n/a | 1-2 | 126 |
