Hopefully it amounts to nothing, but Dorian is something to keep an eye on. Official 5pm NHC track takes it over Hispaniola where the high terrain there weakens it to a depression.
However, 0z model guidance (8pm) is shifting right which could mean missing those mountains. NHC even says in their 5pm discussion, “the large range of possibilities also includes both Dorian going north of Hispaniola and remaining a hurricane and the small cyclone dissipating completely over the island.”
Florida seems to be increasingly at risk IF this remains a storm, with a timeframe next weekend into Labor Day.
However, 0z model guidance (8pm) is shifting right which could mean missing those mountains. NHC even says in their 5pm discussion, “the large range of possibilities also includes both Dorian going north of Hispaniola and remaining a hurricane and the small cyclone dissipating completely over the island.”
Florida seems to be increasingly at risk IF this remains a storm, with a timeframe next weekend into Labor Day.
