May not be up to schools… may be the decision of politicians and public health officials.I think there might be a few cancellations/forfeits in lower-tier conferences, but I just can't imagine any of the big money-making conferences will have vax rates so low to where, even if there is an "outbreak," that enough players would be affected to actually cancel a game.
I talked about this with Aslan on Wake up Warchant. Last year games were getting canceled because 40 players were in contact tracing. Or whole position groups were wiped out. Well, if - and I guess this is an 'if' at this point - you're vaxxed then I don't think close-contact tracing will be implemented. You'll be tested. And if you're negative, and vaccinated, you will be allowed to play. Otherwise, what was the point of getting the shot?
College football is all about making money. Last year was a huge hit. I can't fathom where these schools will forfeit games (and all that money) because 4 players test positive for COVID. Last year, with contact tracing, four players could mean 24 players being quarantined. But if those other 20 players are vaccinated, then in reality, there should be absolutely no quarantining.
It's why Saban already has a 90 percent vax rate on his team. Because it's a huge competitive advantage and it guarantees (or should anyway) that COVID won't decimate his team in a given week.
Hopefully every major program follows suit and we can have a somewhat normal season this fall.
Specifically speaking about Delta variant, the vaccines are very effective at reducing risk of serious disease and death. It’s not as good to prevent mild to moderate disease.
Bottom line, there may be enough people hospitalized that it puts a major strain on system of certain areas and therefore cause local or state restrictions against public gatherings.
Hospitals in Florida are already full of at risk people with COVID (unvaccinated, those who got Wuhan strain (and no vaccine) and vaccinated people with medical issues). Fortunately I don’t think Florida will get so bad that FSU home games are affected.