Not trying to be negative here, but here's the best I can come up with based on win chance %:
WV in Atlanta -- 75%
Samford -- 98%
@BSU -- 49%
Bye
@NC State -- 65%
Clemson -- 10%
Wake Forest -- 70%
@Louisville -- 60%
Pitt -- 65%
@Miami -- 50%
BC -- 80%
@Syracuse -- 85%
Florida -- 35%
This gets us to a record of 7.42 wins and 4.58 losses.
I think I'm being really positive in my percentages pretty much across the board. @NC State, I started with a 50/50 win percentage, but pushed it to 65/35 just to be optimistic. Same for @Louisville, which probably is 50/50 in reality. Pitt's DL scares me. @Miami is 50/50 AT BEST.
What percentages would you realistically tweak given where we are right now?
I can't get to 9 or 10 wins without REALLY stretching things. Here's a totally unrealistic percentage scenario that gets us to 9 wins:
WV in Atlanta -- 90%
Samford -- 99%
@BSU -- 60%
Bye
@NC State -- 85%
Clemson -- 25%
Wake Forest -- 85%
@Louisville -- 80%
Pitt -- 85%
@Miami -- 70%
BC -- 90%
@Syracuse -- 90%
Florida -- 45%
That gets us to 9.04 wins and 2.96 losses. But there is no chance these percentages are realistic.
Thoughts?
WV in Atlanta -- 75%
Samford -- 98%
@BSU -- 49%
Bye
@NC State -- 65%
Clemson -- 10%
Wake Forest -- 70%
@Louisville -- 60%
Pitt -- 65%
@Miami -- 50%
BC -- 80%
@Syracuse -- 85%
Florida -- 35%
This gets us to a record of 7.42 wins and 4.58 losses.
I think I'm being really positive in my percentages pretty much across the board. @NC State, I started with a 50/50 win percentage, but pushed it to 65/35 just to be optimistic. Same for @Louisville, which probably is 50/50 in reality. Pitt's DL scares me. @Miami is 50/50 AT BEST.
What percentages would you realistically tweak given where we are right now?
I can't get to 9 or 10 wins without REALLY stretching things. Here's a totally unrealistic percentage scenario that gets us to 9 wins:
WV in Atlanta -- 90%
Samford -- 99%
@BSU -- 60%
Bye
@NC State -- 85%
Clemson -- 25%
Wake Forest -- 85%
@Louisville -- 80%
Pitt -- 85%
@Miami -- 70%
BC -- 90%
@Syracuse -- 90%
Florida -- 45%
That gets us to 9.04 wins and 2.96 losses. But there is no chance these percentages are realistic.
Thoughts?
