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How will covid effect this season

Are there any studies On that? I have friends who have been vaccinated who got it. I don’t know a single person who got it after having it. That’s why I don’t like to rely on people just talking about it.
Why does there have to be studies when people have in fact gotten the virus more than once?

a true well observed scientific study takes years and years to gather significant data points. There are still so many unknowns, and quite a few people are getting the virus after receiving the vaccine, some are proving to be more effective than others, but far from fool proof.
 
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Serous question - are there any reports on the impact of having already had the virus? Are people who naturally had it getting it again?
A woman who works in my laboratory (I'm an immunologist, incidentally) had COVID last year, got the vaccine, and just recently missed ~1 week after contracting the delta variant.

Obviously, that's anecdotal, but it happens.
 
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Serous question - are there any reports on the impact of having already had the virus? Are people who naturally had it getting it again?
its just like the vaciine .. not typically but they can get it
if they do it is likely mild
 
Any idea when we may get a peak in this current surge?
In Florida we had over 125,000 cases last week alone with a positivity rate of 26.9%. This is as bad as its been since the onset of the pandemic. We could see a plateau by the start of the season or we could just as well see things continue to snowball into the fall. There are so many factors and variables involved I'm reticent to even speculate. Prepare for the worst and hope for the best...
 
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Some questions. I think 1 in 5 of those in hospitals for covid are ICU. Why are 4 out of 5 others in the hospital? What are the standards to be admitted? The govt. has thrown billions and billions of dollars at hospitals since covid started but some act like they have no more capacity than before; how can that be? They said 2 shots of vaccine would be good for different variants; now they say 3rd booster is the charm; which is it? Asking for a friend.....
 
GvilleNole said:
probably going to lock the thread since this starts once a day but
the team is vaccinated
fans can fill the stadium

its over dude - relax - if someone gets covid he is the only one that misses nobody else


Fl has had about 50,000 if not more new cases the past three days. It isn’t over!
I mean for football team and fans .. not the public

we will have games .. not mask no distancing
players will play until they actually have it at game time and those will be few ,, likely not enough to stop a game
 
Don't be so sure, the latest studies indicate breakthrough infections in those vaccinated, albeit rare, are every bit as contagious when they do happen with this delta strain.
There are more breakthroughs than I anticipated. I try to keep up with what this thing is doing. No doubt the Delta is not what the Alpha was. The breakthroughs concern me. I was watching the news yesterday. I'm not going to get this just right so pardon the accuracy. There was an outbreak somewhere in New England where 700 or so tested positive in a highly vaccinated area. 74% of those were vaccinated people. This is not good, but severe cases are still very limited. Vaccinations are the key but Florida is not doing good with this. More talk about boosters. I'm 72 Any booster approvals and the wife and I will be at the head of the line.
 
I am here in Tallahassee and my 7 year old son has COVID. Got it at summer camp last week. Luckily he’s doing fine. But the delta variant is alive and making its rounds in the 850.
Actually, your son was not lucky. Many many many children have caught covid and it is very very very very rare to have advanced symptoms as a child. He would be very unlucky if he was not fine. Take care. God bless.
 
Some questions. I think 1 in 5 of those in hospitals for covid are ICU. Why are 4 out of 5 others in the hospital? What are the standards to be admitted? The govt. has thrown billions and billions of dollars at hospitals since covid started but some act like they have no more capacity than before; how can that be? They said 2 shots of vaccine would be good for different variants; now they say 3rd booster is the charm; which is it? Asking for a friend.....
I understand and share your frustration, the best explanation I can give you is that analysis and understanding of ths virus is an ongoing process which makes current information and best practices somewhat fungible and fluid as we continue to learn more about Covid and its variants. Many of our best practices currently in place were based on our understanding of the original strain. The delta variant, however produces exponentially higher viral loads which in turn produces greater droplet concentrations making this strain far more contagious. The latest data indicates delta could be anywhere from contagious as chickenpox to the mumps depending on situational variables. That would mean delta is approximately 1000% more contagious than original strain.
 
I understand and share your frustration, the best explanation I can give you is that analysis and understanding of ths virus is an ongoing process which makes current information and best practices somewhat fungible and fluid as we continue to learn more about Covid and its variants. Many of our best practices currently in place were based on our understanding of the original strain. The delta variant, however produces exponentially higher viral loads which in turn produces greater droplet concentrations making this strain far more contagious. The latest data indicates delta could be anywhere from contagious as chickenpox to the mumps depending on situational variables. That would mean delta is approximately 1000% more contagious than original strain.
I think most agree or understand the delta variant is much more contagious thus the sudden spike but there seems to be little evidence it impacts anyone worse or even as bad. Maybe the delta is just God's way of vaccinating everyone else without as bad consequences of catching it? Honestly, regardless of testing, they should be able to project how many Americans have caught some variant of covid by now vacinated or not by now? 25%? 33%? up to half? If half the country is vaccinated and many of the remaining half have caught it, at what point do we declare it under control? It's hard to trust any covid stats you hear about even deaths by covid but the number as a % of the country's population after a year and a half is still pretty small. I worry much more about a variant we have not seen yet in the future but we should be much better prepared for that if and when it comes.
 
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I think most agree or understand the delta variant is much more contagious thus the sudden spike but there seems to be little evidence it impacts anyone worse or even as bad. Maybe the delta is just God's way of vaccinating everyone else without as bad consequences of catching it? Honestly, regardless of testing, they should be able to project how many Americans have caught some variant of covid by now vacinated or not by now? 25%? 33%? up to half? If half the country is vaccinated and many of the remaining half have caught it, at what point do we declare it under control? It's hard to trust any covid stats you hear about even deaths by covid but the number as a % of the country's population after a year and a half is still pretty small. I worry much more about a variant we have not seen yet in the future but we should be much better prepared for that if and when it comes.
The one marked difference we can confirm at this juncture is that delta seems to affect the young at much higher rate than the original strain. Of the 125,000 cases last week over 10,000 were children under the age of 12.

As for the numbers being small, COVID-19 has been responsible for over 611,000 deaths in the U.S. alone. By comparison approximately 392,000 Americans gave their lives in WWI, WWII, and Viet Nam combined and current case and infection rates are as high if not higher than we have ever seen them. Professionally speaking, while I remain cautiously optimistic in the long term; in the short term I am concerned about the trajectory.
 
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There are more breakthroughs than I anticipated. I try to keep up with what this thing is doing. No doubt the Delta is not what the Alpha was. The breakthroughs concern me. I was watching the news yesterday. I'm not going to get this just right so pardon the accuracy. There was an outbreak somewhere in New England where 700 or so tested positive in a highly vaccinated area. 74% of those were vaccinated people. This is not good, but severe cases are still very limited. Vaccinations are the key but Florida is not doing good with this. More talk about boosters. I'm 72 Any booster approvals and the wife and I will be at the head of the line.
Vaccine protection is corollary to the strength of the immune system and individuals who are immunocompromised will be at greater risk for breakthrough infections. There are so many factors affecting immune status that causation can be difficult to ascertain. Nearly every comorbidity in existence has some effect on the immune system all of which have a variable affect on vaccination strength.

However this is not to say the immunocompromised should not get vaccinated, quite the contrary, this is precisely the demographic that needs all of the added protection they can possibly get.

It's a complex issue and we are still learning more every day. Hopefully we can turn the tide and get back to a semblance of normalcy. It's been a long 18 months for us all.
 
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If it’s like the vaccine why do we need it if we’ve had it?
The duration of antibodies post infection is as of yet, uncertain but the best data we currently have indicates protection starts to drop off anywhere from 3-9 months post infection. Similarly, there are some studies and data indicating vaccination protection may start to subside anywhere from 9-12 months post vaccination, which could require an annual booster. However, none of the aforementioned has reached a state of scientific consensus with analysis and peer review ongoing.

That being said the best information we have at this time would recommend vaccination post infection to optimize and extend antibody levels
 
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The one marked difference we can confirm at this juncture is that delta seems to affect the young at much higher rate than the original strain. Of the 125,000 cases last week over 10,000 were children under the age of 12.

As for the numbers being small, COVID-19 has been responsible for over 611,000 deaths in the U.S. alone. By comparison approximately 392,000 Americans gave their lives in WWI, WWII, and Viet Nam combined and current case and infection rates are as high if not higher than we have ever seen them. Professionally speaking, while I remain cautiously optimistic in the long term; in the short term I am concerned about the trajectory.
The deaths are terrible and feel for anyone who lost a close one. On an anuualized basis though, it is less than .25 of 1% of the U.S. population. By comparison, almost 3 million have died of other causes during the same time. It could be much worse and that is the future variant I am really concerned about.
 
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Well yes, the Delta spike skyrocketed in England but has already peaked and started to fall. Nearly 3 million Americans decided it was time get the vaccine just this week, and if we can keep it up for a while I think/hope it will fall here quickly as well.
Pray. Cross fingers. 🙏
 
Delta also spiked in India then declined. Similar story in UK. Based on their curves I’d expect our decline to start around early September. One big difference I see is that we are 4 weeks away from stadiums being pack shoulder to shoulder with people across the country. The good news is that vaccines protect from prolonged illness, hospitalization, and death.

Any Nole fan who gets their first shot today and their second shot three weeks from today will be fully vaccinated by the ND game.
 
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As of Thursday, Tallahassee hospitals were at their peak covid patients ever. I do think we as a country have tired over it but it is still very much around. Be careful.
 
As of Thursday, Tallahassee hospitals were at their peak covid patients ever. I do think we as a country have tired over it but it is still very much around. Be careful.
The Democrat says 100 in hospital. That's still statistically low considering the metro area of a few counties has what - over 400,000 people? But it's also the highest number they've had since this started a year ago.
Also it doesn't show the number of people who may have mild cases and just stay home.
 
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How many people fill Doak with a cold? Or are just getting the flu and don't feel bad yet?
At what point do you just live your life once you get vaxxed?
^^^^^This. Do what you can and be smart. And then live your life.

Driving a car is exponentially more dangerous than Covid. But you wear your seat-belt, avoid distracted driving, and control what you can control.
 
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^^^^^This. Do what you can and be smart. And then live your life.

Driving a car is exponentially more dangerous than Covid. But you wear your seat-belt, avoid distracted driving, and control what you can control.
If the death rate remains low perhaps this is our new normal. The 9,000+ hospitalized (more that 4x among ago) is not a promising indicator IMO.
 
If the death rate remains low perhaps this is our new normal. The 9,000+ hospitalized (more that 4x among ago) is not a promising indicator IMO.
Are you in the health or science field? Or just a person who's following the info trail? (Like me)
 

“In the past week, Florida has averaged 1,525 adult hospitalizations a day, and 35 daily pediatric hospitalizations. Both are the highest per capita rate in the nation, according to Jason Salemi, an associate professor of epidemiology at the University of South Florida.”
 
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“In the past week, Florida has averaged 1,525 adult hospitalizations a day, and 35 daily pediatric hospitalizations. Both are the highest per capita rate in the nation, according to Jason Salemi, an associate professor of epidemiology at the University of South Florida.”
As the parent of a 5 year old starting kindergarten next week, my anxiety level is thru the roof
 

“In the past week, Florida has averaged 1,525 adult hospitalizations a day, and 35 daily pediatric hospitalizations. Both are the highest per capita rate in the nation, according to Jason Salemi, an associate professor of epidemiology at the University of South Florida.”
per florida dept of health stats between the reporting period of 7/23 and 7/30 there were 409 COVID deaths.

66.75% of those were in the 65+ age group that the state lists as being 85% vaccinated,
9.29% of the deaths were in the 60-64 age group that is 76% vaccinated, and
14.67% of the deaths were in the 50-59 age group that is 67% vaccinated.

people aged 0-49 accounted for 9.29% of the deaths that collectively is 46.75% vaccinated.

 
Small world. My 5 year old starts the 23rd. He is my focus when it comes to the virus and will be until we can get him vaxed.
Same

wife and I are both vaxed and she works from home, so we’re in good shape. But getting my son through the last week of camp and the first few weeks of kindergarten are going to be hell on my anxiety
 
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Don't be so sure, the latest studies indicate breakthrough infections in those vaccinated, albeit rare, are every bit as contagious when they do happen with this delta strain.
The latest CDC breakthrough cases report just was published on their site.

163MM fully vaccinated folks.
6239 Hospitalizations; 26% no connection to Covid. That leaves 4617 hospitalizations or .003%
1263 Deaths; 24% no connection to Covid.
That leaves 960 deaths or .0006%
74% of the hospitalizations were in age 65 or over.

Yes exceedingly rare..........and basically zero issues with those under age 40.
 
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Small world. My 5 year old starts the 23rd. He is my focus when it comes to the virus and will be until we can get him vaxed.
Don't know if this helps, but zero healthy 12 and unders have died from Covid in US.

Author is a John Hopkins MD and the editor in chief of medpage today a large website that accumulates medical studies.
 
Don't know if this helps, but zero healthy 12 and unders have died from Covid in US.

Author is a John Hopkins MD and the editor in chief of medpage today a large website that accumulates medical studies.

My son was born 3 months premature. I'm not taking any chances. And if approved, his pediatrician has already suggested the vaccination.
 
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Don't know if this helps, but zero healthy 12 and unders have died from Covid in US.

Author is a John Hopkins MD and the editor in chief of medpage today a large website that accumulates medical studies.
just to concur, in florida seven children total under 16 have died. none were under 12. zero under 16 have died recently.
 
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