Hurricane Irma
- Thread starter Fijimn
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The one sort of bright spot that I see is that these storms rarely stay THAT organized or powerful for that long. It's still got a long way to go before it hits Florida. Hopefully during that time it will weaken, shrink, and/or break up some.
I told my wife almost exactly that this morning.
That is one well defined eye though. And it looks like it won't head west enough to feel the effects of the cooler water due to the Harvey run off.
Curious here... there's the formation of a potential (80% at the 5 day model) TS off the east coast of MEX right now. Any models out there that show what the potential impact (negative) on Irma that this would cause or... gravely, any possible confluence of this one and Irma could be?
The disturbance should have no effect on Irma.Curious here... there's the formation of a potential (80% at the 5 day model) TS off the east coast of MEX right now. Any models out there that show what the potential impact (negative) on Irma that this would cause or... gravely, any possible confluence of this one and Irma could be?
I may very well have a house full of people from both south and central Florida by the weekend. Hope they bring their own beer.
Here's something I learned today: hurricane conspiracy theories are an actual thing. From someone on the facebook:
I didn't click to watch the video, and I'm certainly not going to visit the website, so I won't know about all the hurricane things that the news isn't telling me. I'll have to wait and see how it turns out...
I didn't click to watch the video, and I'm certainly not going to visit the website, so I won't know about all the hurricane things that the news isn't telling me. I'll have to wait and see how it turns out...
"How it turns out" is Irma will eventually spin itself right over the edge. Duh...
ATL is filling up. Just booked my parents a room and they told me the bookings have been nonstop this afternoon.
Here's something I learned today: hurricane conspiracy theories are an actual thing. From someone on the facebook:
I didn't click to watch the video, and I'm certainly not going to visit the website, so I won't know about all the hurricane things that the news isn't telling me. I'll have to wait and see how it turns out...
Oh I saw one that said Irma was created by NASA and set on a path for Miami because that city is 70% black/Hispanic etc. This was Trumps way of wiping them out. No lie. She was serious. People are crazy.
The GFS has been showing this eastward trend most of the day now, interesting that the NHC is ticking to it's guns of a Keys landfall. Wonder why? I've been distracted by too many other things today. As for my Tlh-Ric flight late Friday, AA did kindly move my connection out of Miami Friday night, my connection is now through CLT, like it normally is.
Starting to look a little like Matthew's track, but at landfall at 893 vs 934 (for Matthew at its lowest a ways offshore).
Why does the movement say west but they keep showing it tracking west- northwest?
If it stayed on a west track wouldn't that run it over Cuba and into the gulf?
Going by the Nhc track
If it stayed on a west track wouldn't that run it over Cuba and into the gulf?
Going by the Nhc track
Questions for all you hurricane veterans-
1)So when you are told to evacuate, does your employer 'allow' that? I get they can't make you show up for work but is it excusable?
2)Do you have to use vacation time, personal time or whatever or is the time just given to you?
3)Are the employers obligated to pay you if the evacuation warning is given?
4) Does everything basically shut down when it is inevitable that it is going to hit(except hospitals, law enforcement etc.)
The only thing comparable up here would be a heavy snowfall or blizzard (only 1 in the last 40+ years) and nothing really shuts down. Obviously the destruction doesn't come into play with snow, just navigating through it.
1)So when you are told to evacuate, does your employer 'allow' that? I get they can't make you show up for work but is it excusable?
2)Do you have to use vacation time, personal time or whatever or is the time just given to you?
3)Are the employers obligated to pay you if the evacuation warning is given?
4) Does everything basically shut down when it is inevitable that it is going to hit(except hospitals, law enforcement etc.)
The only thing comparable up here would be a heavy snowfall or blizzard (only 1 in the last 40+ years) and nothing really shuts down. Obviously the destruction doesn't come into play with snow, just navigating through it.
I work for the State government. I think SOP is that they follow county EOC recommendations and career employees get administrative (meaning paid) leave. I think hourly govt employees get an unpaid vacation.
I'm not aware of any obligation on private business to pay people to not work.
I haven't been bullseye to many storms, but most places shut down because few are out to support business and employees are taking care of their own.
In my case I'd evacuate Tally if a cat 3+ was bearing down, but I'd have to be back to work ASAP to employ our continuity of operations plan. Hurricane or not, people won't quit having babies.
Depends on whether you are hourly or salary and your employer policies. But for the most part employers are not obligated to pay. I'm giving my employees the option to leave at noon tomorrow to begin preparations. They will be paid. I'm pretty sure once they are settled in they'll do a lot of remote work on their own.
I can only speak from my experience, but I don't bother waiting for Corp HQ to send an official office closure notice. For Matthew, I stayed home and put my hurricane panels up a full 24 hours before they announced the office would be closed. I wouldn't have had time to do it if I waited for permission. On the upside nobody at the company was going to give me grief for it and they offered paid leave for the closure days, but I don't think it was legally required.
By the time it becomes inevitable, most businesses close 12-24 hours before the winds arrive. You might find the odd gas station or Walgreens that stays open until the last minute. Last year I had a ABC liquor cashier complaining about how they were going to keep the store open until the cops made them close it down, but I passed by a few hours later and the place was all boarded up... two days before the storm.
been working in Jax since 2001. Worked for some private companies and currently at a large corporate company.
Everyone has the ability to work remotely these days. So it's normally show up to the office. At the last minute it's "go do what you got to do and work online as needed" and everyone scatters to tend to their families. Never any talk of losing vacation time or anything. Get back when you can.
When Matthew buzzed us. Lost power On Friday right as storm was ending so went to G-ville to stay with relatives the next day. Didn't come back until the following Tuesday when neighbors confirmed power was back.
Everyone has the ability to work remotely these days. So it's normally show up to the office. At the last minute it's "go do what you got to do and work online as needed" and everyone scatters to tend to their families. Never any talk of losing vacation time or anything. Get back when you can.
When Matthew buzzed us. Lost power On Friday right as storm was ending so went to G-ville to stay with relatives the next day. Didn't come back until the following Tuesday when neighbors confirmed power was back.
Lord, no. That model puts the eye wall right over my house.
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Hope not.
Nearly everyone in FL has had close calls with hurricanes but proximity to the eye can make such a difference. You see the damage a direct hit like Andrew can do and you realize it's a whole different category of destruction. This storm looks like a monster.
And what they say about what side of the hurricane you're on usually rings true. Can't remember the hurricane but about 12 years ago a smallish one came onshore just south of Sarasota, my son was in school at Ringling. It did major damage resulting in some fatalities below Sarasota{Ft Myers, etc.}, but because Sarasota was to the left{west} of the storm track, it was relatively unscathed
Yeah, been through a bunch of near misses and quasi hits. This damn storm is really a pisser cause I'm preparing for trial, I've got two kids at USF on the west coast, and I just put a new roof on the house.
That was Charley. It decimated Punta Gorda, and was still so strong as it crossed the state that it ripped the roofs off of airline hangars at Orlando International Airport (MCO).
That was, I think, a Category 4 when it came onshore - in other words a devastating hurricane.
Yeah. NOAA has it sitting on top of Lake Okeechobee as a major hurricane at 2am Monday.
My sister and sister in law are heading our way. Right now there are 120mph winds forecast for West Palm Beach on Sunday afternoon.
Great
Was gonna take dad to our place just outside lake okeechobee , I am starting to itch a bit
If that really does sit over the lake it could cause a breach in the earthen levees
Was gonna take dad to our place just outside lake okeechobee , I am starting to itch a bit
If that really does sit over the lake it could cause a breach in the earthen levees
looks like Tallahassee and the western panhandle will be spared major terror if this model holds up. I hate it for the rest of the state.
