ADVERTISEMENT

Hurricane Irma

looks like Tallahassee and the western panhandle will be spared major terror if this model holds up. I hate it for the rest of the state.
We have been trying to decide whether to evacuate my mom from Tally. This is possibly good news for us, not so much for others.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Random_John
Here's something I learned today: hurricane conspiracy theories are an actual thing. From someone on the facebook:

q0DSmpB.png


I didn't click to watch the video, and I'm certainly not going to visit the website, so I won't know about all the hurricane things that the news isn't telling me. I'll have to wait and see how it turns out...

Shows it moving NW then W under Fla then skirting the coast and going in at GA/SC border...
 
11am cone, another eastward shift, but models seem to be starting to agree on the following:
3d5pbbY.jpg
 
A good thing for me as a huge cfb fan in general is our game being moved to noon...There are a slew of great matchups Saturday evening.

...And before anyone attending the game gets onto me for being selfish, the weather is going to be more than tolerable (high of 85 with a nice breeze).
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: Dr. Nole
Yeah, I'm in Stuart - looking at the new models we can deal with this if the shift East continues.
 
So, if it takes a Matthew approach will people get mad at the weather channel?
 
At least the surf will be epic Monday through Tuesday or Wednesday...
Offshores will be killing it all Mon. Tues/Wed will probably be the days. Sucks on multiple fronts cause I have to leave for San Fran early Tues for 6am flight. Might be leaving my place without power for 3 days.
 
GFS 6 Sept 12z has it making landfall in Miami as a 895mb storm, and staying as at least a Cat 4 all the way up the coast where it would slam into Savannah as a 924mb storm. Not sure how anyone thinks the east coast of Florida would be a safe place after these last few runs. This run would be catastrophic. edit: This is ~50 mile shift west from their last model, so they haven't all been creeping eastward

HEPErSp.gif
 
GFS 6 Sept 12z has it making landfall in Miami as a 895mb storm, and staying as at least a Cat 4 all the way up the coast where it would slam into Savannah as a 924mb storm. Not sure how anyone thinks the east coast of Florida would be a safe place after these last few runs. This run would be catastrophic.

HEPErSp.gif

9QCwHkX.gifv
Yeah, that lates GFS model looks horrible. The euro comes out at 2. That front coming down needs to get here right quick.
 
GFS 6 Sept 12z has it making landfall in Miami as a 895mb storm, and staying as at least a Cat 4 all the way up the coast where it would slam into Savannah as a 924mb storm. Not sure how anyone thinks the east coast of Florida would be a safe place after these last few runs. This run would be catastrophic. edit: This is ~50 mile shift west from their last model, so they haven't all been creeping eastward

HEPErSp.gif
Looks like it could head inland to Charlotte If that projection is right.
 
GFS 6 Sept 12z has it making landfall in Miami as a 895mb storm, and staying as at least a Cat 4 all the way up the coast where it would slam into Savannah as a 924mb storm. Not sure how anyone thinks the east coast of Florida would be a safe place after these last few runs. This run would be catastrophic. edit: This is ~50 mile shift west from their last model, so they haven't all been creeping eastward

HEPErSp.gif

The Ventusky model shows that smaller storm behind it loop around and head back for the strights...
debbie-downer.jpg
 
GFS 6 Sept 12z has it making landfall in Miami as a 895mb storm, and staying as at least a Cat 4 all the way up the coast

Always makes me wonder about the St Lucie power plant sitting on a barrier island...
 
I am traveling back to Tampa from doing site visits in Rockport and it was a disaster. Not one building was spared. This storm is much worse and I hope that it keeps moving east. Wont really know until tomorrow as to where its going to end up.
 
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT