Hurricane Irma
- Thread starter Fijimn
- Start date
My god. That would be a bad path.Euro 12z shifted even further west. Not good.
This is one of those nightmare scenarios where you think you are doing good by evacuating early, only to then get smacked wherever you thought would be safe. Or if you stay put and decide to skin out when you know the storm is gonna hit you, you get stuck in miles of traffic with no gas stations open, all exits jammed, no food, etc. There is no safe bet anywhere in Fl, and all the roads out will be slammed with everyone else.
145mph winds at landfall for Charley. I about shat my pants considering it went from Cat 1 to Cat 4 in about 90 minutes and was initially projected to make landfall along the Caloosahatchee River in Fort Myers which is just a few miles north of my house. In the end it was just a wind even for me - actually went outside, lined up some coconuts I had pulled from a palm tree and lobbed them with the wind every time I heard a big gust. Wind carried them about 60 yards into the lake behind my house!
The storm moved incredibly quickly. Something close to 30mph hence being able to sustain its strength so far inland.
Euro 12z shifted even further west. Not good.
Soliciting an opinion: I'm supposed to be flying to Chicago tomorrow, returning Saturday. Given this nudge back west, would you go? I live in Fort Myers but most of my family is in Naples. I think my biggest concern is not being able to fly back in to Fort Myers - don't particularly want my wife and kid alone to have to deal with this.
Fly your family up to Chicago for the weekend for a mini vacation. Catch a Cubs game, go to Navy Pier. Let insurance deal with the headache back home if needed. Weather should be perfect up there and schools are closed until next week anyway.
AA canceled weekend flights out of Miami and will slow it down Friday. I would anticipate most airlines doing the same. Might want to take your loved ones with you -- unless that was your plan all along, you sly bastard.
hahahaha. I have been accused of that already! It's a business a trip. If it's more likely than not that my return flight would be cancelled then I need to reschedule.
So Katia was not given much of a chance to even be a TS just surprised folks and turned into a hurricane just now in SW gulf. Lot of moisture. The tropical rain in Tallahassee is being fed by her interaction with front coming down. Supposedly going to just linger there few days and drift into Mexico. But worth watching too.
So there's a crazy Delta pilot who took his plane into the bands of the hurricane.
https://www.google.com/amp/jalopnik...ane-that-flew-into-hurricane-i-1800787353/amp
https://www.google.com/amp/jalopnik...ane-that-flew-into-hurricane-i-1800787353/amp
A sobering thought...
"1638 people live on Barbuda & nobody has heard from them since Hurricane Irma hit."
https://www.yahoo.com/news/hurricane-irma-hits-barbuda-silence-144605022.html
"1638 people live on Barbuda & nobody has heard from them since Hurricane Irma hit."
https://www.yahoo.com/news/hurricane-irma-hits-barbuda-silence-144605022.html
The island was absolutely devastated with 60% of the population now homeless according to their government official but only 1 infant died that they know of.
https://www.google.com/amp/www.foxn...buda-at-least-1-killed-officials-say.amp.html
Barbuda in the center of the eye.
Figure 2. Hurricane Irma as seen in moonlight by the VIIRS instrument on the Suomi satellite at approximately 3 am EDT Wednesday, September 6, 2017. Barbuda was in the southeastern eyewall of Irma at this time. Puerto Rico is visible at the left of the image. Image credit: NASA.
I sealed up the house like a vault, I'm hitting the rack and heading for Atlanta at 0400, hope to beat the traffic. Hope my house is either in one piece or completely gone when I get back.
If it's gone I'm moving back to Colorado. Never had to spend 6 hours putting up hurricane shutters in 100 degree heat there once.
If it's gone I'm moving back to Colorado. Never had to spend 6 hours putting up hurricane shutters in 100 degree heat there once.
Not a bad call. Im gonna wait until fri/sat to pull the trigger. Leaning towards staying, but I won't be a dumbass if it looks like it's a direct hit with the eye wall. I'll be back early Mon if I do leave and can ride my bike by and check your house and take photos if need be. That goes for you also @SatBchNole.
No boobie traps on the liqour shelf please!
Looks like ft laud is gonna be a direct hit
I've been through many hurricanes in my lifetime but none like this
Not sure what to expect
Not gonna lie, I'm a little scared of the unknown, of what will happen during the storm and what horrors to see once the monster has passed
I hope I've made the right decision
I hope any others on here that may be in harms way are safe too
Don't know what else to say
I've been through many hurricanes in my lifetime but none like this
Not sure what to expect
Not gonna lie, I'm a little scared of the unknown, of what will happen during the storm and what horrors to see once the monster has passed
I hope I've made the right decision
I hope any others on here that may be in harms way are safe too
Don't know what else to say
You seem like a righteous dude. We still got a few days ahead of us, and the game was moved forward til noon, so we got that going for us sorry sacks in cfl. Keep checkin in until you cant.
Figure 7. South Florida is not at as great of a risk of a high storm surge, since there is deep water offshore, and the mound of water the hurricane piles up can flow downward into the deep ocean instead of getting piled up on land. The worst-case storm tide from a Category 4 hurricane for the coast from Miami Beach to West Palm Beach is 7 – 9 feet. However, that deep water allows much larger waves to build up, and Irma will create big waves that will pound the coast and cause heavy damage. There is a region of the coast from downtown Miami southwards, including Biscayne Bay, where the water is shallow, and the storm tide can be up to 15 feet in a Category 4 hurricane. The Great Miami Hurricane of 1926, a Category 4 storm, brought a 10 – 15’ storm surge to the coast of Miami along Biscayne Bay.
Shown here is the Maximum of the "Maximum Envelope of Waters" (MOM) storm tide image for a composite maximum surge for a large suite of possible mid-strength Category 4 hurricanes (sustained winds of 140 mph) hitting at high tide (a tide level of 2.0’) along the coast of South Florida. Not all sections of the coast will experience this surge level simultaneously.
That is good!
Figure 7. South Florida is not at as great of a risk of a high storm surge, since there is deep water offshore, and the mound of water the hurricane piles up can flow downward into the deep ocean instead of getting piled up on land. The worst-case storm tide from a Category 4 hurricane for the coast from Miami Beach to West Palm Beach is 7 – 9 feet. However, that deep water allows much larger waves to build up, and Irma will create big waves that will pound the coast and cause heavy damage. There is a region of the coast from downtown Miami southwards, including Biscayne Bay, where the water is shallow, and the storm tide can be up to 15 feet in a Category 4 hurricane. The Great Miami Hurricane of 1926, a Category 4 storm, brought a 10 – 15’ storm surge to the coast of Miami along Biscayne Bay.
Shown here is the Maximum of the "Maximum Envelope of Waters" (MOM) storm tide image for a composite maximum surge for a large suite of possible mid-strength Category 4 hurricanes (sustained winds of 140 mph) hitting at high tide (a tide level of 2.0’) along the coast of South Florida. Not all sections of the coast will experience this surge level simultaneously.
In a former life I worked with land use / coastal high hazard issues and assisted with preparation of the current storm surge atlas' and evacuation studies. A few years ago St Joe loosened up state law for their Summercamp project in Franklin County which opened the door for high densities along the water statewide. Thank goodness the Legislature has not dismantled Monroe County's rate of growth ordinance which is based on a maintaining a statutory 24 hour evacuation time.
Thanks bro. We haven't decided if we are leaving yet. If so, it will be early Saturday morning to head to the west coast. If the storm stays in it's current track we will be gone.
