Hurricane Irma
- Thread starter Fijimn
- Start date
neighbor just came over
He and his family are staying
No shutters
No impact windows
Nada
I Dont get it
He and his family are staying
No shutters
No impact windows
Nada
I Dont get it
Well guess whose door he'll be crawling to when the fits hits the shan?
Wow, really? It always amazed me with the weather differencences from cfl to nfl. Thats pretty crazy. We probably wont see the 50s until late Nov.
I was thinking more the mountain of trash they call football programs in Coral Gables and G'Ville.
It's not usual for a cold front to make it all the way through us this time of the year but I'll gladly take it.
Had to google, but there is one named "mountain" in FL.
Sugarloaf Mountain outside of Orlando near Claremont. 312 ft above sea level.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sugarloaf_Mountain_(Florida)
Was even more shocked to learn that the highest point in Fl is located in Walton County; Britton Hill, at 345 ft above sea level.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Britton_Hill
Sugarloaf Mountain outside of Orlando near Claremont. 312 ft above sea level.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sugarloaf_Mountain_(Florida)
Was even more shocked to learn that the highest point in Fl is located in Walton County; Britton Hill, at 345 ft above sea level.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Britton_Hill
10am models are starting to buldge some on that CFL east coast journey. Maybe that front is starting to do it's thing?
Sugarloaf is famous (or infamous) in cycling/triathlon circles. I actually told my family we we'd head out of Tampa (if we were to leave) and drive to the top of Sugarloaf, or some other hill in Clermont, and we'd be just fine. I was not serious....
Ah, then yeah I'm with you. Most people stay put. It'd have to be a category 9 with 350 mph winds to clear out everyone.
None of those are 10am models?
The three most trusted models have the following:
GFS (6am): Trended slightly west, keeping a majority of the eye offshore
UKM (2am): West coast of florida landfall, right over Key West
Euro (2am): Held serve from yesterday's run, with the eye over Miami (see below for the reliability of this model)
I would only trust NHC model, because after all, nobody here (except Chimp) is a meteorologist.
I'm trusting the Ventusky model because it's taking it more offshore...
In western North Carolina we had some heavy rain Tuesday night and into Wednesday a.m. Since then it is no humidity and cooler...upper 40's last night at our place.
Don't know how big this air mass is, but surely it would do some steerage if it came in contact with Irma.
We would have real problems with the projected 8-12 in. of rain expected for us on Tuesday ish.
That's looks like the worst case scenario people have talked about for many years.
Not looking like I'm going to need my hotel in Savannah. Think I'll be cancelling that one for sure.
At this point, you'd probably have to try at least Tennessee to find another one!
I'm in Melbourne, and this track is kinda worrisome since this skirting the Coast thing keeps it strong and one slight wobble puts the eye wall over our roof. Same could be said for anybody on east coast of FL.
Good thinking! ...BUT my son-in-law is a hotel manager, and his Comfort Suites will charge you if you cancel within 7 days of your reservation.
Through Marriott.com I have 48 hours (tomorrow) before the reservation kicks in, to cancel. Hoping to get enough guidance between now and midnight tomorrow, to have the confidence to cancel the Auburn one too.
LIKE WE CARE ABOUT THE FACTS RIGHT NOW BUB, OKAY??!
If the current projections hold, are you coming to Tallahassee w/Tex, goldmom?
We'll have to hold an impromptu "Tallahassee hosts the LR" if you (and others) do.
Since Goldie had to find out on here what Tex was doing, betting the idea was to just leave her to fend for her self.
My old cracker self is not leaving. I'll take a rain check (pun intended) for later this season.
**NOT BEING POLITICAL AT ALL HERE!!!!**:
Gov. Scott just misspoke: "Irma has caused multiple fertility, fatalities (in the Caribbean)..."
So that's what people are doing when holed up from a storm??
Gov. Scott just misspoke: "Irma has caused multiple fertility, fatalities (in the Caribbean)..."
So that's what people are doing when holed up from a storm??
One of the more "eastern" models just drifted back a little west on the 12z run:
With a left hook into Savannah.
Ugh....
Does anyone know where the FSU Super Computer has this forecast to go? If I recall correctly, the model run at FSU is not commercially available, but it is shared with the NHC, so maybe their forecast is based on it.
Wherever that model says the storm is going, that is what I would tend to lean towards. It has been rather accurate in the past.
Wherever that model says the storm is going, that is what I would tend to lean towards. It has been rather accurate in the past.
Okay now you're just poking the bear, aren't you?
Anything to get Tom in trouble.
